Saturday, March 29, 2025

Why Law Firms Collapse

 Grok says: Key Points

  • Research suggests the paper "Why Law Firms Collapse" helps explain Trump vs Big Law by highlighting law firms' vulnerabilities due to partner ownership, making them prone to collapse under pressure.
  • It seems likely that Trump's actions exploit these weaknesses, pressuring firms to settle rather than risk financial instability and partner withdrawals.
  • The evidence leans toward understanding why some firms resist while others comply, based on their financial stability and ownership structure.

Direct Answer
The paper "Why Law Firms Collapse" (Why Law Firms Collapse) helps us understand the conflict between President Donald Trump and major law firms, known as "Big Law," by showing why these firms are particularly vulnerable. It argues that law firms, owned by their partners, can collapse quickly if they face financial trouble, as partners might leave, triggering a spiral of withdrawals. This is different from other businesses, which often survive bankruptcy.
In 2025, Trump has targeted firms like Jenner & Block and WilmerHale with executive orders, restricting their operations and threatening their stability. The paper suggests that this pressure could push firms to settle with Trump to avoid collapse, especially if they fear financial distress. For example, some firms have agreed to provide pro bono work to avoid sanctions, likely to maintain stability. This helps explain why some firms fight back legally while others comply, depending on their financial health.
An unexpected detail is how Trump's actions might be strategically designed to exploit this fragility, knowing law firms can't reorganize like other businesses, making his pressure more effective.

Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of How "Why Law Firms Collapse" Helps Understand Trump vs Big Law
This note provides a comprehensive examination of how the paper "Why Law Firms Collapse" by Steven L. Schwarcz, available at SSRN with abstract ID 2580616 (Why Law Firms Collapse), helps us understand the conflict between President Donald Trump and major law firms, often referred to as "Big Law," as of March 29, 2025. The conflict, marked by Trump's executive actions against firms like Jenner & Block and WilmerHale, is analyzed through the lens of the paper's insights into law firm vulnerabilities. Below, we explore the connection, supported by the paper's content and recent developments, structured for clarity.
Background and Context
The user's query seeks to understand how the analysis in the specified SSRN paper aids in comprehending the ongoing conflict between President Trump and big law firms. This conflict, as detailed in recent news, involves Trump issuing executive orders to restrict the operations of major law firms, citing national security and retaliation for past investigations or litigation against him. The paper, published in 2015 and later in The Business Lawyer in 2020, focuses on why law firms collapse, particularly due to their partner ownership structure, and lacks direct mention of Trump or the 2025 context. However, its insights into law firm fragility provide a framework for interpreting their responses to external pressures like Trump's actions.
Paper Summary: "Why Law Firms Collapse"
The paper, titled "Why Law Firms Collapse," argues that law firms are uniquely prone to rapid and final collapse compared to other businesses. Key points include:
  • Law firms often go from apparent health to liquidation in months or days, unlike ordinary businesses that can reorganize through bankruptcy. Examples include Dewey & LeBoeuf, Heller Ehrman, and Bingham McCutchen.
  • This pattern is puzzling because many businesses endure financial distress, but law firms collapse with extraordinary force. The paper attributes this to partner ownership, where partners are both owners and employees.
  • Partner ownership creates a "run on the bank" scenario: if one partner leaves, it damages the firm, and the remaining partners bear the loss. This can trigger a spiral, with each departure worsening conditions, leading to an accelerating race for the exits.
  • The paper notes that spiraling withdrawals are a consequence of financial distress in partner-owned firms. However, if law firms were investor-owned, this wouldn't happen. It cites Slater and Gordon, a British and Australian law firm, as the only large partner-owned firm to survive prolonged insolvency, notably because it was investor-owned.
The abstract emphasizes extensive implications for understanding law firms and corporate organization, focusing on ownership structure as a critical factor in resilience.
Trump's Actions Against Big Law in 2025
As of March 29, 2025, Trump's conflict with big law firms involves several notable actions:
  • He has signed executive orders targeting firms like Jenner & Block, WilmerHale, Paul Weiss, and Perkins Coie, imposing restrictions such as revoking security clearances, barring them from federal buildings, terminating government contracts, and limiting their ability to represent clients interfacing with the government.
  • These actions, reported in The New York Times (Trump Strikes Back at Federal Worker Unions), are seen as retaliatory, particularly against firms involved in past investigations like those led by Robert Mueller.
  • Responses vary: Jenner & Block and WilmerHale filed lawsuits on March 28, 2025, challenging the orders as unconstitutional, with federal judges issuing temporary restraining orders. Meanwhile, firms like Paul Weiss and Skadden settled, agreeing to provide pro bono work aligned with Trump's priorities to avoid sanctions.
This conflict reflects Trump's strategy to neutralize perceived enemies, leveraging executive power to pressure law firms.
Connecting the Paper to Trump vs Big Law
The paper's analysis helps understand this conflict by highlighting law firms' structural vulnerabilities, which Trump may exploit. Here's how:
  1. Vulnerability to External Pressure:
    The paper argues law firms are fragile due to partner ownership, prone to collapse under financial distress. Trump's actions, while not directly causing financial trouble, threaten firms' stability by restricting operations and potentially damaging reputation. For instance, losing government contracts could lead to revenue drops, pushing firms toward distress. The paper's insight suggests that such pressure could trigger the spiral of partner withdrawals, making firms more likely to settle to avoid collapse.
  2. Explaining Differential Responses:
    The paper's focus on ownership structure helps explain why some firms resist while others comply. Firms with stronger financial positions might fight back legally, as seen with Jenner & Block and WilmerHale, which secured temporary blocks from judges on March 28, 2025. Conversely, firms like Paul Weiss, fearing instability, settled by agreeing to $40 million in pro bono work. This aligns with the paper's idea that financial distress fears drive partner behavior, influencing settlement decisions.
  3. Strategic Exploitation by Trump:
    The paper's finding that law firms collapse quickly and completely, unlike other businesses, suggests Trump may strategically target them knowing their fragility. His actions, such as revoking security clearances, could be designed to push firms into a vulnerable position, leveraging their inability to reorganize like investor-owned companies. This gives Trump a tactical advantage, as law firms can't endure prolonged pressure as easily as other entities.
  4. Implications for Firm Behavior:
    The paper mentions that spiraling withdrawals occur when partners fear losses, and Trump's actions could create such fears. For example, if a firm loses significant business due to Trump's orders, partners might leave, worsening the situation. This dynamic might explain why some firms preemptively negotiate, like Skadden agreeing to $100 million in pro bono services on March 28, 2025, to avoid being targeted, aligning with the paper's insights on avoiding collapse.
  5. Unexpected Detail: Ownership Structure's Role:
    An interesting aspect is the paper's mention of Slater and Gordon, the only large law firm to survive insolvency due to investor ownership. This suggests that if big law firms were to shift to investor ownership, they might be more resilient to Trump's pressures. However, as of 2025, most large law firms remain partner-owned, making them vulnerable, which Trump could exploit further.
Comparative Analysis: Law Firms vs Other Businesses
The paper's comparison to ordinary businesses is crucial. While businesses can reorganize through bankruptcy, law firms collapse rapidly, a dynamic not seen elsewhere. This uniqueness means Trump's actions against law firms have a different impact than if he targeted, say, corporations. The paper's insights help us see why law firms are a softer target for Trump's strategy, potentially explaining his focus on them in his broader agenda against perceived enemies.
Table: Summary of Connections Between Paper and Trump vs Big Law
Paper Insight
Connection to Trump vs Big Law
Example from 2025
Law firms prone to rapid collapse
Trump's actions could push firms into distress, exploiting fragility.
Jenner & Block fights back, fearing collapse if they lose.
Partner ownership leads to withdrawals
Pressure from Trump might trigger partner exits, worsening firm stability.
Paul Weiss settles to avoid instability and partner losses.
Firms can't reorganize like businesses
Makes law firms more likely to comply to avoid collapse, giving Trump leverage.
Skadden agrees to pro bono work to avoid targeting.
Only investor-owned firm survived
Suggests ownership structure key to resilience, but most firms are partner-owned, vulnerable.
No mention of investor-owned big law firms resisting Trump.
Recent Context and Broader Implications
As of March 29, 2025, the conflict is ongoing, with legal battles and settlements shaping the landscape. The paper's analysis, while from 2015, provides timeless insights into law firm structure, relevant to understanding current dynamics. It underscores the high stakes for law firms, where Trump's actions could tip them into collapse, influencing their strategic choices. This connection highlights the strategic nature of Trump's moves, potentially chilling law firms' willingness to oppose him, aligning with his broader agenda to dismantle perceived adversaries.
Conclusion
In summary, research suggests the paper "Why Law Firms Collapse" helps understand Trump vs Big Law by revealing law firms' vulnerabilities due to partner ownership, making them prone to collapse under pressure. It seems likely that Trump's actions exploit these weaknesses, pressuring firms to settle rather than risk financial instability and partner withdrawals. The evidence leans toward explaining differential responses, with financially stable firms resisting and others complying, based on ownership structure. An unexpected detail is how Trump's strategy might be designed to leverage this fragility, knowing law firms can't reorganize like other businesses, providing a strategic advantage in this conflict.
Key Citations